Economic Policy Uncertainty
Full Form of EPU
What is EPU?
Economic Policy Uncertainty (EPU) refers to a metric that quantifies the level of uncertainty surrounding government economic policies, including fiscal, monetary, regulatory, and trade policies. The EPU index, developed by researchers Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom, and Steven Davis, is based on newspaper coverage frequency of policy-related economic uncertainty, tax code expiration data, and disagreement among economic forecasters. In India, the EPU index is closely tracked by policymakers, economists, and investors to gauge the impact of policy changes on business confidence and economic growth. It is widely used in academic research and financial market analysis to predict fluctuations in investment, employment, and GDP. The index is calculated monthly and often spikes during events like elections, major reforms (e.g., GST implementation), or global crises. For competitive exams such as UPSC, RBI Grade B, and NABARD, understanding EPU helps candidates analyze macroeconomic trends and policy impacts. The index is also referenced in reports by the Reserve Bank of India and international bodies like the IMF. Overall, EPU serves as a critical barometer for the health of an economy under shifting policy landscapes.
EPU का फुल फॉर्म
आर्थिक नीति अनिश्चितता
Example
The RBI's Monetary Policy Committee noted that the rise in the EPU index during the second wave of COVID-19 dampened private investment in India.